Here's a quick overview of what the latest models are predicting for Invest 99L...
Euro - 12z run yesterday had a powerful hurricane going into the panhandle of Florida. The 12z run today that just came out, takes a weak tropical storm into the big bend of Florida. This model has been switching around so much, its hard to take it too seriously at this point. It just continues to flip flop.
GFS - GFS develops 99L into a weak tropical storm and hits the Big Bend of Florida. The GFS has been really consistent with this solution over the past few runs, so I'm paying close attention to it.
UKMET - The latest UKMET develops 99L into a moderate strength tropical storm and takes it into the Big Bend. Track has been pretty consistent on the UKMET, but intensity has wavered a bit. For example the 00z run was noticeably stronger than the 12z run.
CMC - I rarely use the CMC when forecasting the tropics, but it has been surprisingly consistent with 99L. For the past 4 runs, that's 48 hours its been showing this, the CMC has brought a strong tropical storm into the Panama Beach area. The CMC isn't great for the tropics but its consistency with this system has caught my eye.
Besides these models we also have the spaghetti models which I have posted below. I'll have a tropical discussion out this evening. Have a great afternoon!