Okay so this afternoon the CMC and GFS are both showing a hurricane either making landfall or skimming the Northeast.
These are both WAY out there is NO consistency and both of these models in my opinion stink. We also need to see the Euro which is in my opinion the "king" of the models.
Here is my latest cone and threat level map.
Here is a more zoomed in version of just the coverage area.
If you are in the aware area keep a close eye onto the weather and check it daily for any further devlopments. If you are in the alert area you should be a little bit more concerned. Check the weather at lest once a day and make sure you know how to turn off you gas or electricity in case you need to evacuate. Right now there is still only a slight chance for any real hurricane preparations but its always better safe than sorry.
A longer discussion on Erika will be out around 5-6 PM. Be sure to follow my twitter for more updates!