Things are starting to get interesting...
The weather for the rest of the workweek into Saturday looks beautiful with unusually warm temperatures.
Early Saturday morning low pressure will start to organize itself in Texas. As it moves NNE the storm will strengthen causing sever weather in portions of Louisiana, Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas and Mississippi. Late Saturday afternoon when the storm is centered in Missouri snow will start to fall in Iowa. Overnight the snow will expand and will fall heavily in the Duluth area. When all is said and done as much as two feet of snow is possible in Duluth.
The storm will then head east. As it does so it could cause back end snow for the Great Lakes if it is strong enough. The storm system will likely give us some rain Monday afternoon through the overnight hours. During that time period northern New England (specifically northern Maine), will likely see some ice.
The models are also hinting at a storm for the 16th-18th. A cold wintry storm system will move into the Great Plains on the 15th. It will then head east weakening as it does so. As it moves through the Great Lakes it could do a number of things. It could continue east or head north probably just causing some rain or snow showers. Or it could combine with some Gulf Moisture and turn into a stronger storm.
There are a lot of possibilities with this storm and a lot of questions. As of right now I'm not expecting much. However, I will be keeping you updated if anything changes.
The chance for a storm around the 20th is much higher in my opinion. Two areas of low pressure, one over Oklahoma and the other in the Gulf of Mexico, will develop on the 19th. They will then likely combine into one storm around Kentucky. The storm will then head east strengthening as it does so. Finally, the storm may turn into a nor'easter off the coast. If this scenario were to happen we would be left with a decent amount of snow. Obviously, this is very far out and will most definitely change.
The Bering Sea Rule states that the weather pattern in the Bering Sea is correlated to the continental United States 17-21 days later.
I'm telling you this because the Bering Sea is heading into a very active pattern. It all starts Saturday night when a 930 millibar low pressure system (possibly stronger), moves into the Bering Sea. 930 millibars is extremely and comes very close to last years. record breaking 920 millibar storm. This would correlate to a very strong storm impacting the United States during the first few days of 2016.
Perhaps even more amazing is that the models are predicting even more storms of equal strength in the coming weeks!
Before you start buying bread and milk, the theory is by no means perfect. It was only developed in 2011 and there is still a lot of research being done. This is just one more of the many factors that prove January will be a very active month. I expect at least one blizzard with multiple other storms. If you want to read more about that go to my winter forecast on the seasonal forecast page.
That's it for tonight! Be sure to check out my twitter and give me a follow.