A storm that is currently dropping up to a foot of snow in northern Texas and New Mexico will track east tomorrow. Once it moves over the gulf it will pick up moisture and drop buckets of rain in the south. The storm will then track along the east coast and combine with a piece of energy from the Midwest. The storm will turn into a very powerful nor'easter and go through a process called bombogenisis. Storms that go through this process usually pack heavy precipitation and blizzard conditions and the storm on Saturday will pack both of those.
Here are my first call snow totals.
Washington DC and Baltimore- Snow starts Friday night and picks up in intensity in the morning. In the afternoon snow mixes with and possibly changes to rain and sleet. Total snow accumulation of 2-4 inches.
Philadelphia- Snow starts late Friday night and picks up in intensity in the late morning. Could mix or change to rain in the afternoon. Then change back to snow in the evening. Total snow accumulation of 3-6 inches.
New York- Snow starts late Friday night and and becomes heavy around lunch time. In the late afternoon it mixes with sleet and rain and then changes back to snow in the evening and the snow falls for a couple hours. Strong winds are also a possibility, with the slight potential of blizzard conditions. Total snow accumulation of 4-8 inches.
Boston- Snow starts late Saturday morning. The snow mixes with rain and sleet in the afternoon. In the evening the rain and sleet changes back to snow and becomes heavy. Blizzard conditions are definitely a possibility in Boston. Total snow accumulations of 6-10 inches.
These snow totals are conservative and the reason for that is the GFS model. While the European, Canadian and Japanese models all suggest a major winter storm the GFS takes the storm out to sea leaving most of us with nothing. Although I want to forget about the GFS and share with you the snow totals that I am REALLY thinking, I can't. Last night, I thought the GFS would turn to a more snowier solution today and it did not. It's consistency is troubling and it has really forced me to keep my eyes peeled with this storm. I will have another full update at 6:30-7:00 tomorrow. For now cross your fingers whether you are a snow lover or a sun lover because there is still major questions with this storm.