Much needed rain is on its way!
After a week in LBI I'm back and I'm happy to be forecasting again. Blog updates and 7 day forecasts will begin as usual tomorrow. I am currently working on a winter forecast for the entire United States that will be in video form. I haven't figured out a date yet but the forecast should be posted on YouTube sometime towards the end of this month. Along with the forecast I will have a full analysis on my predictions. This will be the first of two maybe even three winter forecasts. My official winter forecast will be issued around thanksgiving but I may issue a second preliminary forecast in October.
As for my fall thoughts I won't be making any fancy video forecast but I will be issuing a complete fall forecast on this blog around the time I issue my first winter forecast.
Okay, with that cleared up I can talk about some weather that is going to be happening much sooner.
Up until midnight tonight most of the area should be dry except for a few pop up showers. Later tonight a steadier rain will begin to move into western counties. Tomorrow will be quite the rainy day with heavy showers and thunderstorms, starting in the morning and then tapering off from west to east in the late afternoon and evening. Everything should be out of the are by early Wednesday morning. Here's my best shot on how much rainfall we should pick up.
I'm not sure exactly where the heavy thunderstorms are going to setup so this definitely isn't set in stone. Just last night the models were predicting that heavy band of 2-4 inches of rain in our northwestern counties. All I can say is that most people will get 1-2 inches of rain with a few areas getting 3 maybe even as much as 4 inches of rain.
This rain is much needed as we had a very dry July which has caused most of Long Island to go into a moderate drought.
There will be a slight chance of a shower on Wednesday and then the rest of the week should be dry. Temperatures will be average to above average in the 80s. For more information check out the 7 day forecast.
Have a nice evening and join me in the morning for my updated forecast.