A MAJOR nor'easter is on its way...
A coastal storm is currently gathering strength in South Carolina. This low pressure will track north tonight rapidly intensifying as it does so. The storm will reach its closest approach around 9 AM tomorrow. The storm should be quite strong with a pressure around 975 millibars. As it pulls away tomorrow evening it should bottom out around 965 millibars which is very strong.
Precipitation should move in some time in the next few hours. Below is a map of the predicted precipitation type during this storm. The blue area is a big question mark right now. While it would make sense for the precipitation to be all rain, dynamic cooling could allow for a brief period of heavy wet snow tomorrow morning. Even if this happens there won't be any big accumulations as the snow will be too wet.
Snow accumulations won't be much of a problem. There could be as much of inch of snow in northern locations of the coverage area.
There will be some sleet and freezing rain accumulations. A winter weather advisory is possible in the Poconos and Orange and Sussex counties because of ice.
The bulk of the precipitation will be rain. I expect some decent accumulations in eastern parts of the coverage area as this storm will be quite intense.
Wind gusts tomorrow will also be quite intense. I'm rather surprised no wind advisory has been issued for Suffolk county.
The storm will pull away by nightfall tomorrow.
Expect some snow showers Sunday night into Monday morning with some minor accumulations possible on the coast. I'll have more on that tomorrow night.
Our next storm threat will be next Friday into Sunday. There isn't really much to say on this since it is so far out. What I can say is that a storm is likely but track is widely unknown. I'll have more information on this storm tomorrow and in the coming days when I issue scenario maps.
I'll have an update early tomorrow morning and of course I will be tweeting about this storm. Be sure to follow my twitter if you want to hear about updates and observations!