A cold morning tomorrow. Still lots of confusion regarding the storm threats.
Tomorrow morning will be extreamly cold with temperatures nearing zero degrees in some areas. Wind chills will be about 10 degrees colder.
Wednesday will be more seasonable but still cold.
High temperatures Thursday will be warm with highs in the low 40s.
Friday through Saturday we will have to watch as our next wintry event is possible. It'll start Thursday as a low pressure system will start to organize itself in Texas and Oklahoma. The low pressure will track east and eventually northeast Friday. On Friday a second low pressure system will form on the Gulf Coast. This piece of low pressure will track up the coast instead of the west of us. However, it doesn't look like this low pressure will be bring enough to bring down enough cold air for a winter storm. Also, the models are indicating that the eastern low pressure may get sucked up into the western one.
Another factor that may affect the track of either low pressure is an out of season sub-tropical storm. Yes, in January I am watching the tropics. This storm, especially if it gets powerful, could pull part of the storm farther east.
So what am I thinking for the coverage area? Snow moves in around midnight Friday night. By dawn its raining in New York City and anywhere to south of that. The snow may stick around a little longer in the northern counties but everyone should be switched over to rain by noon. When all is said and done, snow totals will range from as little as a coating in central New Jersey, to as much as 4 inches in Orange County.
I can't really say much regarding the storm threat for next Monday and Tuesday. The reason for that is because the storms track is directly dependent on the track that the storm for Friday through Saturday. We will just have to wait and see in the next few days. The models are very confused with the changing pattern and are having a difficult time with both storms. All I can say is be on the lookout for a possible nor'easter.
Expect this active pattern with frequent cold shots to continue into March. Buckle up guys, winters here!
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