Out to sea is looking a bit more likely...
An out to sea scenario is now looking more likely then a US landfall. It is still definitely possible but out to sea is more likely. It looks like we have about 30-40% chance of having a landfalling hurricane. Below is the latest cone and threat level forecast.
Joaquin is currently slamming the Bahamas. Joaquin probably won't move out until late Saturday and by then some of the islands will never look the same again. I just hope that by some miracle people are not dying. It is difficult to know what exactly is going on right now in the Bahamas.
As for us there is still time for things to change. Almost all models take this storm out to sea but I am skeptical of this. Only time will tell.
Tomorrow into Saturday will be rainy and windy with some coastal flooding and beach erosion. This is caused from a nor'easter that is not related to Joaquin at all. The amount of weather going on is crazy!