A major pattern change is on its way!
Tomorrow and Wednesday look to be seasonably chilly but I don't expect any precipitation.
Thursday will be a different story. A strong cold front will approach from the west and ahead of it we will see rain and storms. Below is a map of how much rain I expect to fall. In Sussex and Orange counties I think that they could see as more than 2 inches of rain but the models aren't supporting that. I will decide in the coming days whether or not I should up the totals.
As this storm moves out, another storm system will develop in the Midwest Friday morning. The storm will first drop several inches of snow in the Midwest specifically in Northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. By Sunday the storm will be well to the north of us. However, I think that many areas will see there first snow and some areas will even see accumulating snow. Below is a map of the timing and how much snow I'm expecting.
Sunday afternoon the storm system will move north of the area and we should clear out. However, there are some indications that the storm could transfer its energy to the coast and turn into a full-fledged nor'easter. There is still plenty of time to watch this and it is certainly possible that we see a nor'easter Sunday into next Monday. We will just have to wait and see!
Nor'easter or not it is going to get very cold after this upcoming weekend. Models are indicating that we see temperatures over 10 degrees below average with potential snows. What I am mainly looking at is the potential for a massive lake effect storm sometime om the next two or three weeks.
Remember my official winter forecast for the 2015/2016 season goes out on Thanksgiving Day at 1 PM. So be sure to stay tuned for that. If we do happen to see a major storm on Thanksgiving then I will postpone it but I don't see that happening as of right now. Also be sure to follow my twitter! Have a nice evening!