The models are showing some weird stuff in the Pacific, and is a heat wave on the way.
As I usually do, I will start with whats happening the soonest, and then wrap up with what weather is the farthest out.
Today is going to be hot one! And so will this weekend. And most of next week. Yes a heatwave is on its way unfortunately. Expect high temperatures ranging from the upper 80's. Just remember to take it easy if your outside and to drink lots of water.
Now onto some more interesting topics...
Currently in the Pacific we have two tropical depressions. The front one which is slightly weaker is currently moving through Guam and the strong depression is farther back. Last night it looked as though the slightly stronger typhoon would curve past Japan and harmlessly not hit any land. The other typhoon, the weaker one would then hit Taiwan and China. But this morning the models were depicting some weird stuff.
The GFS hasn't changed much and is still predicting the same thing as last night. The European and Cnadian model show that the two typhoons will actually interact with each other. The Canadian even shows the larger storm gobbling up the smaller one and turning into a pure monster. Here's a picture of the storms merging.
So if the storms merge and turn into a monster whats the effect on us?
Last November we had a white Thanksgiving and record low temperatures. That was caused when a typhoon turned into a monster. The typhoon curved off the coast of Japan and headed towards the Bering sea where it bottomed out at a pressure of 910 millibars. The storm completely messed with the jet stream and caused the eastern half of the United States to have one of the coldest snowiest Novembers on record.
I'm not saying that if the two typhoons merge September is going to be the coldest on record, but there is definitely a potential for a chilly September.
I said on twitter last night that I will address the el nino. I don't want to give too many hints because I want to save some information for my first winter forecast.
This el nino will by no means be the strongest on record. In fact it won't even come close. What looked like a strong to super el nino is now looking like moderate to strong el nino. I'm sorry but it is looking less and less likely that California will be getting the rain that it needs. As for us, this winter is shaping up to be quite snowy.
I will be issuing my fall forecast on Sunday so tune in for that!