Rain is on the way!
Tonight we will be having quite the moon event. We will have a supermoon, which basically means that the moon will be unusually large. In addition to that we will have a lunar eclipse which will peak around 11 PM. The moon should start turning red around 8 PM.
Above is a look at the latest five day. As you can see we will have a slight chance of a shower tomorrow and a slightly higher chance of a shower on Tuesday. On Wednesday a cold front will move through and it not only bring cooler temperatures but also some heavy rain and thunderstorms.
Yes, we are finally getting some rain. It is actually looking increasingly likely that we will see heavy rain. Just look at the latest GFS prediction.
It gives everyone in the area at least 1-2 inches of rain with a narrow band of 3-4 inches of rain going through Northern New Jersey. Where this band sets up is unclear but I do think that most areas will see at least an inch of rain. I should have an idea of who's really going to get soaked tomorrow.
While this is good news for the drought there is a potential for flash flooding. Because the ground is rock hard all the rain will wash away. But droughts almost always end in floods so the rain is definitely good news.
Hopefully this rain falls on Northeast New Jersey as a drought watch is currently in effect. If you live in Northeast New Jersey refrain from watering your lawn excessively.
As for the coastal storm this morning things were very interesting. Every single model across the board was predicting torrential rain and very strong winds for next weekend. This afternoon all the models said the same thing except for the Euro. Instead of showing a strong nor'easter the Euro just showed a fast moving coastal low that doesn't really develop. During the evening run with the GFS model while it did develop the storm it was significantly weaker and faster moving than its earlier runs.
So what does this mean? Not much just some model flip-flop. It's still very early so of course the models are going to constantly change the predictions. The models will do another run around midnight tonight. I think that the models will probably go back up again to a strong nor'easter but I can't guarantee anything.
All I can say is that there is a potential for a coastal storm to affect us next weekend. If you live near the shore just keep an eye on the weather, no need for alarm.
I will be keeping you up to date with all the coastal information on my twitter. Be sure to join me tomorrow for all the latest weather!
This mornings run is first and the afternoons run is second. Also the wind speeds are measured in knots.