Invest 93L has formed and watching Sundays severe threat...
Below I have mapped out which areas will have severe weather Sunday.
In the blue area, severe storms will be widespread and some storms could even spawn up tornadoes. In this area, the severe weather will likely be dangerous and people in this area should start to think about cancelling plans Sunday. In the red, expect a pretty typical severe weather day. Thunderstorms will be widespread, but severe thunderstorms will be spotty. The main threats in the red will be strong winds and heavy rain. In the orange, expect spotty thunderstorms and only a couple severe ones. The main threat will be heavy rain.
Below are some pictures of projected radar images from the high resolution NAM model.
The National Hurricane C enter has now identified the tropical wave we've been watching as Invest 93L. 93L is currently located to the east north east of Honduras. While there isn't any clear circulation there is some nice convection in the area, which is a good sign for future development.
Expect the system to remain an invest tomorrow as it moves west, but it should become tropical depression three by late Sunday. The system will then track northeast and should hit somewhere near the Tampa Bay area as a tropical storm, Tuesday. If 93L strengthens into a tropical storm, its name will be Colin.
Whether or not the system hits Florida as a tropical storm, tropical depression or neither, it looks like Florida will get drenched. The area the storm makes landfall will likely receive 6+ inches of rain, with areas around the landfall spot getting 2-6.
It doesn't look any areas will suffer any severe damage from Colin, but he certainly could be a nuisance if the current forecast holds.
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