There is a growing likelihood of a major coastal storm!
Seasonable temperatures will return tomorrow with highs in the 50s.
Sunday and Monday will both be nice and seasonable with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s and 40s.
Around Tuesday things start to get interesting. We currently have a system dropping heavy rainfall over the Southeast. The moisture is moving east and becoming more organized as it does so.
What I am currently thinking is that the moisture will continue to move east until it is centered over the Florida and Georgia. Then the moisture will head North North East and transfer its energy to around Cape Hatteras. It will then move north strengthening as it does so dropping heavy rain and potentially some strong winds.
Below is a picture of the track of this system. The green circle will likely feel the worst impacts of this storm.
It may be November but I am also monitoring the potential for some type of tropical system. Right now there is an area of disturbed weather with its center located over Puerto Rico. As it moves northwest over the next five days it could turn into a tropical depression or even a tropical storm. It originally it looked as if the tropical system could merge with the coastal storm I talked about earlier. While it still looks as if the tropical system will interact with the coastal storm, they won't merge until well out to sea. Nevertheless there is still a slight potential for the two to merge so I will be monitoring.
As our coastal storm deports on Wednesday the weather is just getting going farther west. The models are indicating that there could be a late season tornado outbreak in the Midwest and Mississippi Valley. I think that the highest threat for dangerous tornadoes will be in the St.Louis area. There are still a lot of questions with this system but Wednesday could be a dangerous day.
As the system moves east it will be weakening. But it could still bring us some strong possibly severe thunderstorms Thursday.
Clearly the weather is getting more interesting. It should also start to cool down as we head into the second half of November. You can find my November forecast in a previous post.
My final winter forecast will go out on Thanksgiving day! Also be sure to follow my twitter for all the latest!