I'm going to try to keep this brief because I have a bit of a cold.
Tomorrow night we will have a rather interesting space event. Not only will we have a lunar eclipse but we will also have a supermoon. This event should start around 8 PM and will reach its peak around 11 PM. Unfortunatly, there will be some clouds which could block the event.
Here is a look at your five day forecast.
Monday and Tuesday the chance of rain is very slight so don't get too concerned about that. As for Wednesday through next Wednesday I am currently monitoring for a coastal storm. Right now the only model that is supporting this is the Canadian but it is a possibility. The GFS did show a coastal storm during its 12z run but during its latest run it doesn't show much of an anything. The Euro doesn't develop much of anything but it has shown some indications to what the Canadian is predicting. We will just have to wait and see at this point as any storm system looks to be a bit far out from now.
Right now there is a very strong area of high pressure centered over northern New England. To the south of us there is a low pressure system. This extreme difference in pressure is churning up the ocean and causing coastal flooding and some very rough surf. Below is a look at the current alerts.
Light green : Coastal flood advisory
Darker green : Coastal flood statement
In addition to coastal flooding there will be some very rough surf and dangerous rip currents.
As for the drought things look pretty bleak. Here is a look at the latest conditions from the NWS.
I am rather surprised by the drought monitors estimations. In my opinion the entire coverage area should be in a moderate drought at this point. Unless we get a coastal storm I don't see any significant rain in sight. But the good new is that I do see a pattern change coming as we head into October. I say that with a low confidence but I am hopeful we will get some much needed rain as conditions are favorable for coastal storms.
My second preliminary winter outlook will go out on October 11th. My final winter outlook goes out on Thanksgiving day. I am also considering doing a Fall forecast update for the entire Northeast region. Be sure to also check out my twitter and follow!