Its clear that winter is coming as both the American and European models are indicating wintry weather in the coming weeks for the eastern two thirds of the nation.
First, the European. The European has consistently been indicating a shot of cold air hitting the Northeast this upcoming weekend, but during its 12z run, it showed something even more interesting.
12z ECMWF Snowfall (November 2nd 2019)
A swath of 6 to 10 inches of snow stretching from Erie, Pennsylvania to Boston, Massachusetts. If this scenario were to verify, precipitation would begin as rain for most areas Thursday afternoon, and with nightfall should transition to snow with several inches of heavy wet snow, accumulating by Friday morning. This is the first model run to indicate a storm like this happening, so it remains highly unlikely for the time being. However, its definitely something to watch.
The American model does not support a winter storm developing this Thursday, but does indicate a highly powerful winter storm in the long range, with an extremely potent arctic blast behind it.
12z GFS (November 2nd 2019)
Although its very unlikely this verifies as well, it is indicative of the pattern that we could be heading into. November is shaping up to be a rather interesting month weather-wise!