One more wintry event...
The storm that I've been monitoring has definitely been trending west on the models. How far west it goes is unsure.
On one side we have the Canadian model. The Canadian has a large area of 4-8 inches covering almost all of the coverage area with a bit less in central New Jersey and eastern Suffolk. While it has done somethings right, the Canadian is not the best model, especially at this range. Whats compelling about this solution is that the UKMET, a model that I really like, shows something similar.
On the other hand we have the NAM model. The NAM has no snow accumulation at all for most of the coverage area, except for Nassau, Suffolk and Monmouth counties. The NAM is pretty good in this range, but I find this scenario rather hard to believe.
Finally, here is the 18z GFS. This is kind of the "happy middle" out of the models. My snow forecast looks a lot like it.
Here's the map. As I explained, eastern areas have the best shot at seeing large snow amounts. However, keep an eye out if your in the red circled area, as this could switch.
Be sure to check out my twitter @CONWEATHER and follow! I'll have an update here in the morning tomorrow.